Falsifying mental models: Testing the predictions of theories of syllogistic reasoning

Cognitive Uncertainty in Syllogistic Reasoning: An Alternative Mental Models Theory

In this paper we propose a mental models theory of syllogistic reasoning which does not incorporate a falsification procedure and clearly specifies which conclusions will be generated and in what order of preference. It is assumed the models constructed vary in terms of the number of uncertain representations of end terms, and the directness of the representation of the subjects of valid conclu...

Individual differences in syllogistic reasoning: deduction rules or mental models?

Two studies examined the correlates of reasoning ability on a syllogistic reasoning task in subjects who lacked formal background in logic. The main issue addressed was the extent to which reasoning proficiency arises from the consideration of multiple possible set relations (mental models) as opposed to explicit or implicit reliance on deduction rules. Evidence for the use of both models and r...

Some precursors of current theories of syllogistic reasoning

Towards a Formalization of Mental Model Reasoning for Syllogistic Fragments

In this study, Johnson-Laird and his colleagues’ mental model reasoning is formally analyzed as a non-sentential reasoning. Based on the recent developments in implementations of mental model theory, we formulate a mental model reasoning for syllogistic fragments in a way satisfying the requirement of formal specification such as mental model definition.

the application of multivariate probit models for conditional claim-types (the case study of iranian car insurance industry)

هدف اصلی نرخ گذاری بیمه ای تعیین نرخ عادلانه و منطقی از دیدگاه بیمه گر و بیمه گذار است. تعین نرخ یکی از مهم ترین مسایلی است که شرکتهای بیمه با آن روبرو هستند، زیرا تعیین نرخ اصلی ترین عامل در رقابت بین شرکتها است. برای تعیین حق بیمه ابتدا می باید مقدار مورد انتظار ادعای خسارت برای هر قرارداد بیمه را برآورد کرد. روش عمومی مدل سازی خسارتهای عملیاتی در نظر گرفتن تواتر و شدت خسارتها می باشد. اگر شر...